Recovered Cases Prediction Covid19 India

⚡ Predicting number of COVID-19 cases that shall be recovered in INDIA 🇮🇳

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💚 Recovered Cases Prediction Covid19 India

21st August 2020 to 9th September 2020 Prediction


Date ⚡ Predicted 💚 Actual 🙋 Error %
Apr 26 2020 577 585 1.38
May 17 2020 36795 33558 8.7

Range of data : 14-03-2020 to 20-08-2020


Model used : SARIMAX (Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) with order - [14,1,0]

SARIMAX

Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average, SARIMAX or Seasonal ARIMA, is an extension of ARIMA that explicitly supports univariate time series data with a seasonal component.

It adds three new hyperparameters to specify the autoregression (AR), differencing (I) and moving average (MA) for the seasonal component of the series, as well as an additional parameter for the period of the seasonality.

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